Tag Archives: DCR

Mumbai Realty Market Looks For Some Upward Growth

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The real estate market in Mumbai looks poised for some upswing after going through a lukewarm phase for the past few months. Evidently, there has been a marked increase in sales in March 2012 when 5,776 properties were registered, which is 37% more than the 3,639 registrations in the month of February 2012.

Similarly, at least 50 projects have been launched in the last three months, which further underlines the positive sentiment in the real estate market. The developers ‘ fraternity is quite upbeat about this encouraging development in the past few months.

Says Bharat Mody, CFO, Hubtown Limited, “The recent registration data is certainly encouraging and we are hopeful of numbers getting better from here on.” Similarly, Diipesh Bhagtani, Executive Director, Jaycee Homes Ltd, says: “It’s always good news when we see higher number of registrations and project launches.” Developers, however, have their own reasoning for this positive trend witnessed in the real estate market. The festive spell in the month of March has also been instrumental in giving a boost to the sales in the residential space, observe developers.

Shailesh Sanghvi – Director of Sanghvi Group of Companies, says: “Auspicious occasions such as Gudi Padwa, Akshya Tritya and Dhanteras give an impetus to booking of flats. As Gudi Padwa fell in the month of March, this worked as a major driver for property registrations.

With several developers attracting homebuyers with significant discounts and incentives the trend will continue to prevail since it is the most favourable day to purchase the flat or to perform their Graha Pravesh puja.

On this festive occasion there is an affirmative sentiment in people and more prospects are keen to buy, a discount offer helps them to take the decision faster, releasing some monetary burden.” In addition to this, bonus and healthy job market have certainly created an optimistic sentiment in the market, he points out. However, according to Mody, this improvement has mostly come from the re-sale property rather than any fresh purchases. “Therefore, things will significantly change only if situation on pending approvals improves drastically. That will create fresh supply in the market and ease the upward pressure on prices and will prove to be win-win for government, home-buyers and developers,” he says.

Additionally, developers aver that the primary reason is that the new Development Control Rules (DCR) that came into effect in January has been instrumental in boosting the sales. The recent bunching up of project launches after the new DCR came into effect in January 2012 seems to have driven the recovery, observe realty experts. “Developers and customers are now certain of what they are buying and investing into. Also, we have made it mandatory for developers to sell flats on carpet pricing, leaving no dispute on clarity of areas.”

Moreover, with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cutting interest rates for the first time in three years after raising borrowing costs by record 375 basis points in 13 moves from mid-March 2010, this factor has also been responsible for the spike in purchases. The RBI lowered the repurchase rate to 8 per cent from 8.5 per cent on April 17. Incidentally, Mumbai’s residential home sales recovered from a three-year low in the quarter ended in March.

 

Mumbai offers little hope for home buyers.

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In a recent report, Jones Lang LaSalle said that Mumbai seems to be in a tighter spot with Rs275 billion being sunk in land since FDI (foreign direct investment) was allowed in real estate in 2005; most of which has failed to yield returns. Even many investments done in South Bombay once named as one of the hottest and costliest property location in the world have met the same fate. Read Mumbai has sunk Rs275 billion in lands since 2005, the reason is known to all. Sky high prices have put off customers. In Mumbai, an average flat costs more than Rs10,000 per sq. ft. and even in Navi Mumbai, in less populated areas, there are many projects that have flats priced at over Rs1 crore.

Add to that the confusion created by the new DCR (development control rules). Many builders now have to make fresh plans to accommodate the proposed changes about FSI; and the worst affected are those whose projects are already underway. Many of the launches have been put on hold, and construction has been stalled in many places. And for people who have already invested in these projects, the longer the deadlock lasts, the more they have to pay.

Buy or not to buy? Despite a profusion of analyses and research reports on housing prices and their future direction, home buyers remain as confused as ever. So it is little wonder that 37 lakh of flats remain vacant in Maharashtra, of which 4.79 lakh are in Mumbai. The Census Directorate data says that even Thane district has more than 5 lakh vacant flats.

“Why doesn’t the government or RBI (Reserve Bank of India) understand that the more they squeeze liquidity by raising interest rates, it raises returns on black investments even higher. If our country can bring down black element out of property, rents will fall, property prices will fall,” said a commentator.

The home-buyer, however, is at a loss. The Budget came as a flop, and a recent Crisil report says that prices of steel and cement will go up, which will probably be passed down to the end-user. And then, there is the proposal to hike on leave-license, which is going to make rentals expensive. There are some who expect matters to improve.

Pankaj Kapoor, MD, Liases Foras also had echoed similar thoughts. “The high prices are not fault of only the builders. The hike in stamp duty was uncalled for and it is too revenue-centric and indicates a short term vision.” Read Maharashtra Stamp duty hike: “Neither can you afford to own a home, nor take it on rent”

However, as most experts say, one can buy a home any time. “You never know what will happen next. And honestly, there is little evidence to suggest that customers have waited for better home loan or price options when they have to buy a home—because it is a necessity. So if you want to own a home, there is no bad time,” said an analyst.